Will U.S. gasoline CPI (SA) fall 3% or more month-over-month in the July 2026 release?
InflationOne-OffCommoditiesManifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (17%)
Risolto: 12 ago 2026, 12:36
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 83%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 giorni fa
Obsoleto5 ago 26, 22:5412 ago 26, 12:25
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes83%
No17%
83%
17%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for July 2026 shows that the seasonally adjusted gasoline (all types) index fell by 3.0% or more month-over-month from June 2026. **Series:** CUSR0000SETB01 ("Gasoline (all types) in U.S. city average, all urban consumers, seasonally adjusted"), available free at https://api.bls.gov/publicAPI/v1/timeseries/data/CUSR0000SETB01 **Resolution:** Compute (July 2026 index / June 2026 index - 1) x 100 from the FIRST BLS July 2026 CPI release.
- Resolves YES if that value is -3.0% or lower (i.e. a decline of 3.0% or more).
- Resolves NO if it is higher than -3.0% (including any increase).
- The June 2026 value at market creation is 341.980; the May 2026 value is 378.660.
- Use only the seasonally adjusted series named above.
- Do NOT use the not-seasonally-adjusted gasoline index, the broader energy index (CUSR0000SA0E), headline or core CPI, retail price surveys (AAA, GasBuddy, EIA weekly), crude oil prices, or later annual revisions — unless BLS corrects the initial July 2026 release before resolution.
