Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.7%
Previsori
77
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto4 ott 23, 19:30 UTC1 gen 27, 20:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
Resolves to YES if there is broad consensus that the armed forces of Ukraine control all of Melitopol within its official administrative limits, for at least 24 consecutive hours, at any point before the end of 2026.
- If that has not happened by the 1st of January, 2027 (local time), it resolves to NO.
- In case there is any ambiguity at that point as to whether the city is fully under Ukrainian control or contested, a delay of 7 days will be added to ascertain what the exact status of the city was on the last 24 hours of 2026.
Mercati aperti
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- Yes+5.0pt69.3%
- No-5.0pt30.7%
- Volume totale
- 630K €
- Volume 24h
- 145,7K €
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt29%
- October 3116%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December5%
- July0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 21,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt33%
- September 30-1.9pt2%
- Volume totale
- 292K €
- Volume 24h
- 36,4K €
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Dobropillia by which date?
- December 31+6.5pt90%
- October 31+12.5pt73%
- September 30+7.0pt35%
+6 altri esiti
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- Save the Children-2.9pt9%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
+28 altri esiti
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- Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?
- How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?
- Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026??
- Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to YES if there is broad consensus that the armed forces of Ukraine control all of Melitopol within its official administrative limits, for at least 24 consecutive hours, at any point before the end of 2026.