Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under the 2023 peace proposal?
One-OffRussia / UcrainaGeopoliticaPolitica1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80.4%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto27 ott 26, 00:18 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
As reported by the Financial Times and confirmed by Ukrainian legislator Oleksiy Goncharenko, the peace terms discussed in early 2023 would have seen Ukraine regain control of all of the territories captured by Russia since 24 February 2022.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the amount of territory Ukraine controls following the end of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is greater than the amount of territory Ukraine would have controlled if the 2023 peace proposal described by the Financial Times had been implemented.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- This market concerns de facto territorial control.
