Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72.7%
Previsori
225
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 54 minuti fa
In ritardo29 ott 22, 04:57 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
2023-02-15 Update: Resolves positively if, by the end of 2027, Twitter has incorporated prediction market services into their platform.
- Can resolve positively early if Twitter incorporates prediction market functionality ahead of the closing date.
- Events that make a positive resolution likely:
- Functionality is added such that, in addition to Tweets or alongside a Tweet, users or organizations can create public or private markets (using play or real currency) on questions about future events
- Twitter refers to a new capability as a "prediction market"
- A service of Twitter's looks and feels like Manifold / PredictIt / PolyMarket's UX