Will Trump's attempt to run for the 3rd term be blocked by court(s)?
PoliticaRegolamentazioneOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86%
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10
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto25 mar 26, 08:40 UTC21 gen 29, 00:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves once it's clear that either Trump is not running for the 3rd term (not going to try, or abandoned his attenmpt), or it's clear he was able to run without sufficient impediment to stop him.
- If Trump does not try to run for a 3rd term, resolves NO
- If Trump tries, but abandons the attempt before courts are involved, resolves NO
- If Trump successfully runs for the 3rd term, resolves NO
- A court decision that is overruled by a higher court does not count.
- A successful 3rd term run resolves NO, even if he loses - even if there are some court decisions that prevented him from being on a ballot in some states.
