Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo peace, no Nobel 80%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
52
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto11 ott 25, 17:11 UTC3 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
Peace before 2027.
- There doesn't have to be an explicit causal relationship, just whether the two things happen.
- This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets:
- [markets]Previously:
- @/EvanDaniel/will-trump-win-the-2025-nobel-peace