Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.7%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto17 dic 25, 23:30 UTC20 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump Publicly comes Out As LGBTQ by The end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Trump finish his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurRegole
This market resolves YES if, before January 20, 2029, if all of the following occur:
- Donald Trump makes a public statement or announcement confirming that he has converted to Judaism.
- The conversion is formally recognized by a Jewish religious authority or organization, such as a recognized rabbinical court (Beth Din) or a major Jewish religious organization or synagogue.
- The conversion and its recognition are reported by at least one major, credible news outlet.
- The market resolves to NO if these conditions are not met by January 20, 2029.
- Additional Info:
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term??
- Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if, before January 20, 2029, if all of the following occur: