Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 64.6%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto28 nov 24, 05:04 UTC22 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term?
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Manifold MarketsWho will Trump pardon?
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FutuurRegole
During his first term (2017-2021), Donald Trump granted 237 acts of clemency, which was among the lowest in recent history.
- For comparison, Barack Obama granted 1,927 acts of clemency over eight years, with a substantial portion occurring in a single term.
- Franklin D. Roosevelt holds the record for most pardons in a four-year period, having granted over 2,800 pardons during his first term (1933-1937).
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election AND grants more pardons and commutations combined during his second term (2025-2029) than any other U.S. president has granted during any single four-year term.
- The market will resolve NO if:
