Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USA2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 66.7%
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo21 gen 25, 13:45 UTC20 gen 29, 22:59 UTC
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Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
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Manifold MarketsWho will Trump pardon?
KalshiWill Trump pardon a Cabinet member?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Democracy observers worry that pardoning J6 insurrectionists incentivizes future political violence, because it signals that Donald Trump might shield them from legal consequences.
- Political violence against opponents of the President is a commonly used tactic for authoritarian capture.
- Will Trump do this?
- What counts: pardoning assassination attempt, attacking opposing protestors, etc., attacks on Republicans by far-right individuals will also count
- The violence must occur during the second term.