Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 66.7%
Previsori
31
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto21 gen 25, 13:45 UTC20 gen 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump pardon?
Kalshi[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?
FutuurWho will Trump pardon before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Democracy observers worry that pardoning J6 insurrectionists incentivizes future political violence, because it signals that Donald Trump might shield them from legal consequences.
- Political violence against opponents of the President is a commonly used tactic for authoritarian capture.
- Will Trump do this?
- What counts: pardoning assassination attempt, attacking opposing protestors, etc., attacks on Republicans by far-right individuals will also count
- The violence must occur during the second term.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term??
- Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Democracy observers worry that pardoning J6 insurrectionists incentivizes future political violence, because it signals that Donald Trump might shield them from legal consequences.