Previsione della comunità attuale
Any Trump family member 80.3%In testa tra 16 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto3 dic 25, 17:09 UTC21 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump pardon or commute SBF's sentence?
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PredictItRegole
Anyone who receives a presidential pardon or commutation after 12/3/2025 but before Donald Trump leaves power
- Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market covers pardons issued after 12/3/2025 (starting 12/4/2025).
- The Cuellar pardon on 12/3/2025 does not count for this market, as it occurred before the market's coverage period began.
- Update 2026-01-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Puerto Rico officials do not count as state-level officials for the purposes of this market, as Puerto Rico is not a state.
Mercati aperti
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)?
- Manifold Markets quota Any Trump family member al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)?
- [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25) dovrebbe risolversi il 21 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Anyone who receives a presidential pardon or commutation after 12/3/2025 but before Donald Trump leaves power