2026 Midterms: Will Trump leave office OR will a family member be indicted OR will Dems win Senate before 1/20/29?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneCriminalità e giustiziaElezioni di metà mandato USA 20262aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 70.3%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto17 lug 26, 13:08 UTC19 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Trump leave office as President?
Manifold MarketsHow will Trump leave office?
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PredictItWill a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
KalshiIf Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill Hasan Piker be indicted for a federal crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any of the following three conditions occur at any point between July 17, 2026, and 12:00 PM EST on January 20, 2029:
- Donald Trump leaves office: Donald J. Trump ceases to hold the office of President of the United States.
- This includes resignation, removal via impeachment conviction, removal under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, or death.
- Family member indicted: Melania Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, Eric Trump, Tiffany Trump, Barron Trump, or Jared Kushner is formally indicted on state or federal criminal charges (or if a criminal information is filed by prosecutors).
- Civil lawsuits or civil complaints do not qualify.
