Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAt the end of his term in 2029. 83.9%+1.3ptIn testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
658
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+4.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto13 mar 25, 20:47 UTC21 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Trump leave office as President?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Will Trump leave office OR will a family member be indicted OR will Dems win Senate before 1/20/29?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump leave office early?
PredictItWill Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiWhich G7 leader will leave office next?
KalshiRegole
Donald Trump has been elected to a second term as President of the United States, which began on January 20, 2025.
- The Constitution limits presidents to two terms under the 22nd Amendment.
- There are several ways a president can leave office, including completing their term, resignation, impeachment and removal, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or death in office.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the option that best describes how Donald Trump leaves the presidency.
- Only one option can resolve as YES:
Mercati aperti
Politics
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- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How will Trump leave office??
- Manifold Markets quota At the end of his term in 2029. al 84% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How will Trump leave office??
- How will Trump leave office? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato How will Trump leave office??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Donald Trump has been elected to a second term as President of the United States, which began on January 20, 2025.