Will Trump get his third impeachment before 2027?
One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAGeopoliticaMedio Oriente2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 98.3%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 31 minuti fa
16 mar 26, 16:05 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution Criteria
- A simple majority is needed in the House for impeachment.
- The market resolves YES if the House of Representatives votes to impeach Trump for a third time before January 1, 2027.
- The market resolves NO if no third impeachment vote occurs by that date.
- Resolution will be determined by official House voting records available at Congress.gov.
- Trump was impeached twice during his first term, with his second impeachment occurring a week before he left office.
