Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.9%
Previsori
38
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto1 apr 25, 18:20 UTC30 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?
Manifold MarketsWhich case will have its central holding overturned before the scheduled end of Donald Trump's term as president?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
KalshiDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiKathy Hochul to finish her term as governor of New York?
FutuurRegole
This market resolves yes if Donald John Trump is elected president of the united states in 2028
- Things that resolve yes: Courts rule that the non-consecutive argument is legit and Donald John Trump is elected for a third term.
- Vance legally changing his name to Donald John Trump and then resigning to give the office to Donald John Trump.
- Vance running with Trump as VP and then resigning right after.
- Democracy is overthrown and Donald John Trump elects Donald John Trump for another term in office.
- Any shenanigans in general that cause him to be hold office after his term ends (even if separated by a little break due to a Vance swearing in and resigning type beat)
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)?
- Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed) dovrebbe risolversi il 30 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves yes if Donald John Trump is elected president of the united states in 2028