Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.1%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo21 gen 25, 19:45 UTC29 gen 40, 05:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
Manifold MarketsPoll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump get his third impeachment before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached a 3rd time while in his second term in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegole
Will Trump break the 22nd amendment and get a third term? I don’t know if it would violent, or somehow peaceful, but resolves positively if Trump gets inaugurated president a third time.
- For the record I’m completely against this in every way possible, but I think it’s important to model risks.
