Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 66.3%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto14 mar 26, 07:32 UTC1 feb 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiWho will Trump endorse?
PolymarketWho will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
PolymarketHow many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/19-9/25)
KalshiWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?
KalshiWhich party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if Donald Trump endorses JD Vance for president before polls open on Super Tuesday in 2028.
- Resolves NO otherwise, unless Trump dies before 2028, in which case it resolves N/A. To avoid ambiguity in case the Super Tuesday tradition changes: Super Tuesday is defined for the purposes of this market as the first day in which at least eight states (or DC/territories) hold Republican presidential primaries/caucuses.
- If no such day occurs by the time that at least twenty states (or DC/territories) have held Republican presidential primaries/caucuses, resolves to whether or not Trump has endorsed Vance by the time of the twentieth such primary/caucus.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 193,8 Mln €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 598,4K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9%
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 425,6K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.2%
- D-House, R-Senate30.6%
- Republicans sweep-0.4pt9.2%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+2.5pt25%
- October+1.5pt18%
- September 30,-0.1pt6%
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 66% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028??
- Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if Donald Trump endorses JD Vance for president before polls open on Super Tuesday in 2028.