Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (99%)
Risolto: 1 ott 2026, 03:04
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 ott 2026, 11:53 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
will trump die before halloween ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Biden OR Trump die in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump's death is officially announced as having occurred between September 1, 2026 (12:00 AM ET) and September 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET).
- It will resolve to NO if he is alive at the end of this period.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from the White House or reports from major, reputable news organizations (such as AP News or Reuters).
- The official announced date and time of death will dictate the resolution.
- Donald Trump is currently serving as the 47th President of the United States.