Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 96.4%
Previsori
47
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto5 gen 26, 23:38 UTC31 dic 26, 12:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
PolymarketWill Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump Die before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Trump Die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if either Joe Biden or Donald Trump are confirmed by consensus of credible reporting to be deceased by 11:59pm ET, December 31st 2026.
- Resolves YES if both die.
- Resolves NO if neither do.
