Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97.1%
Previsori
366
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto21 dic 25, 07:45 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Will Donald Trump die of natural causes or other causes in 2026?
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies from any cause (natural or otherwise) at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on confirmation from major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, etc.) reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Trump survives through December 31, 2026.
- Trump is 79 years old and the oldest person in American history to be inaugurated as president.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump Die in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump Die in 2026??
- Will Trump Die in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump Die in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will Donald Trump die of natural causes or other causes in 2026?