Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029??

Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 febbraio 2029.

Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029?

One-OffTecnologia Business & Corporate2a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 64%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 13 ore fa

Obsoleto

25 nov 23, 16:08 UTC2 feb 29, 06:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?

Manifold Markets

Will a nuclear war start over a shitty old cargo ship in 2026?

Manifold Markets

Regole

Battery-powered shipping is close to being economically sensible, depending on things like battery prices and how the price of pollution is accounted.

However, it's still a massive engineering challenge.
Will there be at least one battery-powered electric cargo ship, of at least 500 TEU capacity, making routine commercial voyages of at least 1000 km length, before 2029?
If the ship has both battery-electric and fuel-based (combustion or fuel cell) power systems, it will be counted if the nominal battery-only range exceeds 1000 km and it is making routine voyages of at least 1000 km.

Segnala un problema di dati su questo mercato

Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029?

One-OffTecnologia Business & Corporate2a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 64%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 13 ore fa

Obsoleto

25 nov 23, 16:08 UTC2 feb 29, 06:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?

Manifold Markets

Will a nuclear war start over a shitty old cargo ship in 2026?

Manifold Markets

Regole

Battery-powered shipping is close to being economically sensible, depending on things like battery prices and how the price of pollution is accounted.

However, it's still a massive engineering challenge.
Will there be at least one battery-powered electric cargo ship, of at least 500 TEU capacity, making routine commercial voyages of at least 1000 km length, before 2029?
If the ship has both battery-electric and fuel-based (combustion or fuel cell) power systems, it will be counted if the nominal battery-only range exceeds 1000 km and it is making routine voyages of at least 1000 km.

Segnala un problema di dati su questo mercato

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029??: Manifold Markets quota Yes al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029??: Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 febbraio 2029.
Come viene liquidato Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Battery-powered shipping is close to being economically sensible, depending on things like battery prices and how the price of pollution is accounted.

Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029?

Will there be electric cargo ship(s) by 2029?

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