Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 68.1%
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31
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto2 set 22, 19:59 UTC1 gen 30, 08:00 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a global depression in the 2020s?
Manifold MarketsWill a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the World Health Organization declare another global pandemic before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
From Wikipedia:
- "A pandemic is an epidemic occurring on a scale that crosses international boundaries, usually affecting people on a worldwide scale."
- "An epidemic is the rapid spread of disease to a large number of patients among a given population within an area in a short period of time."
- Simply existing in many different countries isn't enough; there has to be large-scale spread in those countries.
- In addition, the disease must have a noticeable impact on normal human life.
- It will not count if a new pathogen emerges and spreads virulently across the globe, but is completely harmless and there are no significant efforts to prevent its spread.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
- 83,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 864,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 915,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume totale
- 4,2K €
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be another global pandemic before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 68% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be another global pandemic before 2030??
- Will there be another global pandemic before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be another global pandemic before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: From Wikipedia: