Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027?
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 96.3%
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23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto15 apr 26, 05:03 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2027, an AI model (or a service powered by such a model) is released for general public access—defined as being available for use via web interface, API, or open-weights download—that is widely recognized by the AI research community to possess reasoning, coding, or creative capabilities comparable to or exceeding Anthropic's "Mythos" model.
- If no such model is publicly available by this date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Resolution will be based on a consensus of leading AI publications, industry analysis, and technical benchmarks.
- Anthropic has characterized certain iterations or planned developments within their model hierarchy as possessing advanced capabilities, sometimes internally codenamed or referred to in competitive contexts.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volume totale
- 225,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 157K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 348,3K €
- Volume 24h
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027??
- Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This description was generated by AI.