Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
One-OffTecnologiaSociety & Culture3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 91.7%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto11 gen 24, 01:53 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
Resolve Yes if a new social media platform with less than 100 million users as of 2024 Jan reaches more monthly active users than Instagram at market close
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_social_platforms_with_at_least_100_million_active_users
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026??
- Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolve Yes if a new social media platform with less than 100 million users as of 2024 Jan reaches more monthly active users than Instagram at market close