Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 79%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
103
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ott 23, 01:15 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiRegole
Popularity determined by some form of "active users". e.g. users who have made at least 1 post in the past year.
- The exact metric will be determined by what sites choose to report and what can reasonably be estimated.
- If a site is renamed, this resolves to the old name.
- If two sites merge, this resolves to the name of the new one if it kept an old name, or to the one that was bigger prior to the merge if not.
- If you'd like a new site added, ask me and I'll add it.
- (You'll need to managram me M$25.)
