Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 75.7%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
103
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ott 23, 01:15 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the official Farcaster client (formerly Warpcast) permanently cease as a social media platform by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiWill the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
FutuurRegole
Popularity determined by some form of "active users". e.g. users who have made at least 1 post in the past year.
- The exact metric will be determined by what sites choose to report and what can reasonably be estimated.
- If a site is renamed, this resolves to the old name.
- If two sites merge, this resolves to the name of the new one if it kept an old name, or to the one that was bigger prior to the merge if not.
- If you'd like a new site added, ask me and I'll add it.
- (You'll need to managram me M$25.)
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 76% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026??
- Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Popularity determined by some form of "active users". e.g. users who have made at least 1 post in the past year.