Will "The worthlessness of vitamin D is mildly exag..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffSalute e medicinaScienza1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto24 giu 26, 16:29 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post The worthlessness of vitamin D is mildly exaggerated is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
