Gli Stati Uniti sperimenteranno una crisi costituzionale prima del 2030?
One-OffPoliticaPolitica USASocietà e cultura3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 60.7%
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152
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto10 lug 23, 08:22 UTC31 dic 29, 16:01 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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To qualify, the crisis should be listed here:
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitutional_crisis
- If Wikipedia becomes unreliable, defunct, or does not list a crisis but there's a broad consensus that there has been one, then I'm open to resolving according to a different source.
- Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Broad Consensus Clarification
- If Wikipedia lists a constitutional crisis but there is a broad consensus that it has not occurred, the resolution may be based on a different, less biased source.
- A broad consensus requires more than strong disagreement (for example, stark differences between left and right perspectives); in such a case, Wikipedia remains the guiding source.
