If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticaElezioneSociety & Culture1m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 93.7%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto15 gen 24, 23:45 UTC4 nov 26, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
Manifold MarketsIf the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will they end the filibuster by the midterm election?
Manifold MarketsWill trump sign a 'national abortion ban' by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election?
PredictItIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PolymarketRegole
This question will resolve YES if the GOP wins the House, Senate and Presidency, and a national abortion ban of 6 weeks or less if passed by the 2026 midterm election.
- This question will still resolve YES if rape, incest, health of mother, or life of mother exceptions are included in the passed legislation.
- This question will resolve N/A if the GOP does not win a trifecta.
- A "heartbeat bill" would resolve this question YES if was defined to significantly limit 6 week abortions.
- If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
- If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election? (this question)
