Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 94.4%
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 55 minuti fa
In ritardo9 gen 26, 23:05 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Iranian protests end?
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PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026, all of the following conditions are met:
- - The current wave of protests (beginning December 28, 2025) has substantially subsided
- - The Islamic Republic system of government remains intact
- - Cumulative protester deaths reached or exceeded 1,500 according to credible sources (Amnesty International, Iran Human Rights, HRANA, or Reuters)
- Resolves NO if:
- - The Islamic Republic fell or underwent fundamental constitutional change, OR
