Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 70%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto8 lug 26, 20:01 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiWhich bills will become law in 2026?
KalshiWhich bills will become law in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
GAAIA is a bipartisan bill in Congress being proposed by Jay Obernolte (R-CA) and Lori Trahan (D-MA).
- Here is an article about the substance by Charlie Bullock: https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/congress-should-do-something--the-case-for-(fixing)-the-great-american-ai-act
- I can't really figure out what the status is.
- This market uses an expansive definition of "become law".
- It resolves YES if the bill is passed and becomes law in 2026, even if it is somewhat watered down or modified, as long as it remains an AI regulation and/or preemption bill.
- It also resolves YES if the bill's substantive provisions are fully folded into another bill which becomes law, though it resolves NO if only super dumb and toothless provisions make it in.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 70% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026??
- Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: GAAIA is a bipartisan bill in Congress being proposed by Jay Obernolte (R-CA) and Lori Trahan (D-MA).