Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
IAOne-Off2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 05:51 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 74.2%
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78
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto17 mar 25, 23:31 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Will the first AI model that receives a score of 75 or higher be capable (with an agent scaffolding) of replacing a software engineer?
- Resolves based on my personal judgement, in particular whether it is cost- and time-effective for ZeroPath to use it to replace one of our engineers (or accomplish the same amount with fewer people).
- Example tasks it should be capable of:
- "Fix this error we're getting on BetterStack."
- "Move our Redis cache from DigitalOcean to AWS."
- "Add and implement a cancellation feature for ZeroPath scans."
