Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88.5%
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto28 mar 25, 20:49 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) classifies the United States as either a "hybrid regime" or an "authoritarian regime" in any of its Democracy Index reports published before January 1, 2030.
- It resolves to NO if the United States remains classified as either a "full democracy" or a "flawed democracy" in all EIU Democracy Index reports through the end of 2029.
- The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) publishes an annual Democracy Index that categorizes countries into four regime types:
- Full democracies (scores of 8.01-10)
- Flawed democracies (scores of 6.01-8.00)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030??
- Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria