Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
One-OffPolitica USAElezionePoliticaElezioni di metà mandato USA 202620g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 04:15 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 93.5%
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121
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto12 giu 25, 12:28 UTC15 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
MetaculusControl of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections
FutuurIf X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves to YES if the Democratic Party wins at least 218 of the 435 seats in the US House of Representatives in the November 2026 elections.
- This can include independent candidates who caucus with the Democrats (in the same way that the party's Senate majority relies on independent senators).
- It doesn't matter if a Democrat actually becomes Speaker, only who wins more than half the seats in the election.
