Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
PoliticaUS PoliticsElezione4mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocrat 88.4%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-1.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto12 gen 26, 21:24 UTC31 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?
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Metaculus119th Congress legislative combo
KalshiRegole
Resolution Criteria
- The 120th Congress will be sworn in in early January 2027 following the November 3, 2026 House elections.
- The market resolves based on which party holds a majority of seats in the House of Representatives when the 120th Congress convenes. 218 seats are needed for a majority.
- Resolution will be determined by official House records at house.gov.
- Republicans currently hold a 220-215 majority in the House.
- Democrats need to gain a net of three districts to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two districts to retain a majority.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.?
- Manifold Markets quota Democrat al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.?
- Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress. dovrebbe risolversi il 31 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria