Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?
One-OffPolitica USAElezionePoliticaElezioni di metà mandato USA 20268g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 92.5%
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53
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto20 feb 26, 01:55 UTC4 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsIf X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the results of the U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Democrats win 218 or more seats (a majority of the 435 total seats).
- The market resolves NO if Republicans win 218 or more seats.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the House Clerk's office at https://clerk.house.gov/
- Following the 2024 elections, Republicans hold a 220-215 majority in the House.
