Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20262m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 66.8%
Previsori
37
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo12 mar 26, 06:47 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
Manifold MarketsIf X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Democrats win a majority of the 100 Senate seats following elections in 2026.
- The Democrats would need 51 seats to control the chamber.
- If seat >= 51 resolve as YES
- If seat < 51 resolve as NO
- If the election is cancelled resolve as NO
