Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeIn Office 70.8%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 40 minuti fa
15 lug 26, 14:19 UTC4 nov 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official status of Donald Trump on November 4, 2027, at 12:00 AM Eastern Time (ET).
- Exactly one of the following options will resolve YES, and all other options will resolve NO:
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is the sitting President of the United States.
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is no longer the named outcome, and his departure was caused by his death.
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is no longer the named outcome, and his departure was due to conviction following impeachment by the Senate or permanent removal via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.
