Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
PoliticaOne-OffIntrattenimentoMusicUS PoliticsElezione1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 16 lug 2026, 15:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attualeIn Office 82.9%+56.2%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 giorni fa
Obsoleto15 lug 26, 14:194 nov 27, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
In Office83%
Trend del volume
$17215 lug2g di dati16 lug
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official status of Donald Trump on November 4, 2027, at 12:00 AM Eastern Time (ET).
- Exactly one of the following options will resolve YES, and all other options will resolve NO:
- In Office: Donald Trump is the sitting President of the United States.
- Out of Office due to death: Donald Trump is no longer in office, and his departure was caused by his death.
- Out of Office due to removal: Donald Trump is no longer in office, and his departure was due to conviction following impeachment by the Senate or permanent removal via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.