Will the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20268g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 67%
Previsori
34
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto25 mar 26, 14:44 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
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Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain control of the US house following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Republicans maintain a majority in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterm elections on November 3, 2026.
- Currently, Republicans hold 53 seats and Democrats hold 47 (including two independents), with 35 seats up for election—22 held by Republicans and 13 by Democrats.
- Republicans can lose only two seats and retain a majority.
- Resolution will be determined by the official results certified by the Senate following the November 3, 2026 elections, including two special elections in Florida and Ohio.
- Republicans gained majority control of the Senate in the 2024 elections by flipping four Democratic seats.