Will Republicans maintain house control in 2026 midterms?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20262mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 67.1%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto7 ott 26, 18:43 UTC31 dic 26, 11:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Republicans maintain control of the US house following the 2026 midterm elections?
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Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
Manifold MarketsHouse control favorite on November 2?
PolymarketUS House Control After the 2026 Midterms
Robinhood (Rothera)Regole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, following the U.S. midterm elections on November 3, 2026, the Republican Party maintains control of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th Congress.
- Specifically, this means:
- The Republican Party wins at least 218 of the 435 voting seats in the House.
- Alternatively, if neither party secures 218 seats outright due to independents or third parties, this market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party successfully organizes the chamber and elects a Republican Speaker of the House when the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027.
- If the Democratic Party or any other non-Republican coalition wins a majority of seats or successfully organizes the chamber (electing a non-Republican Speaker), this market resolves to NO.
