Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 66.9%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto6 mar 25, 10:37 UTC1 gen 00, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Beijing Loach, a newly discovered species, that is not evaluated by the IUCN yet.
- Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive animals.
- The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier.
- It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the population is extinct.
- The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Beijing Loach persists.
- For more information about the species, see:
