Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?
8.8 pt (24h)IATecnologia4mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeN = 100 85.1%-8.8ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
87
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-6.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
2 giu 25, 20:0831 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Regole
Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has added answer options for the following values of N:
- Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the following definitions for how the market will be resolved:
- A robotaxi service is defined as one where a user can request a ride on-demand, similar to Uber or Lyft.
- It will still count if riders must first join a waitlist.
- The fleet size will be determined by the total number of Teslas used for an autonomous ride by someone other than the owner.
- A vehicle is considered "actively operating" if it provides at least one such ride within any given week.
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AI
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota N = 100 al 85% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026??
- Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has added answer options for the following values of N: