Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
One-OffTecnologiaIA3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 66%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo10 gen 24, 12:39 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
I'll define major as largest 10 metro areas.
- For self-driving I'll use SAE level 3.
- https://www.sae.org/binaries/content/gallery/cm/content/news/sae-blog/j3016graphic_2021.png
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030??
- Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I'll define major as largest 10 metro areas.