Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffSociety & Culture1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.4%
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Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto3 mar 26, 11:39 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will "Let goodness conquer all that it can defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
KalshiRegole
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 30,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 18K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume totale
- 8,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume totale
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume totale
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume totale
- 136,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 419 €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.