Will "Let goodness conquer all that it can defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffSociety & Culture1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.6%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto17 apr 26, 15:28 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will "Do not conquer what you cannot defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Announcing the Corrigibility Research Fund" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsRegole
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Let goodness conquer all that it can defend is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercati aperti
Society & Culture
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "Let goodness conquer all that it can defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will "Let goodness conquer all that it can defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Will "Let goodness conquer all that it can defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will "Let goodness conquer all that it can defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.