Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolitica4mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 62.6%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto31 dic 25, 01:06 UTC1 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ?
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FutuurWill Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the Russian Federation has de facto control of at least 95.00% of the Donbass region at the close date.
- This market will resolve NO if the Russian Federation has de facto control of less than 95.00% of the Donbass region at the close date.
- Resolution sources
- Should the Russia-Ukraine conflict reach a formal conclusion by the close date, the resolution of this market will be informed by a consensus of media reports, if one exists.
- If the conflict is ongoing at the close date, or the extent of Russia’s territorial control is uncertain, the market will resolve according to estimates obtained from the following sources:
Mercati aperti
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 473K €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027??
- Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria