Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 90.3%
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto6 lug 24, 12:23 UTC4 lug 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP after the election?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?
Manifold MarketsNext UK by-election called by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
KalshiUkraine election called by which date?
PolymarketSpain snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If he has resigned, been kicked out or lost his seat in a by-election this will resolve as no.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called??
- Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 luglio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If he has resigned, been kicked out or lost his seat in a by-election this will resolve as no.