Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election 88.9%In testa tra 3 esiti
Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election 88.9%Previsori
55
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto26 mag 24, 12:05 UTC28 apr 28, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next UK General Election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill Ed Balls stand for election as an MP before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRegole
The UK will have a general election on 4th July.
- The Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is also the MP for Richmond (Yorkshire).
- He is expected to win his seat but lose his majority.
- At this point, it is expected that he will resign or be removed as the leader of the Conservative Party with the new leader of the party taking over as the Leader of the Opposition (assuming they’re even the second biggest party - see @/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-which-party-wil-35d0bc6a20f9 )
- Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP once he steps down? He recently promised in an interview on Loose Women that he would, but this was the same interview where he said that there would not be a summer election!
- If Sunak is returned to Parliament and serves out his full term as an MP (whether or not he is still PM or LOTO, and even if there is a very early election), this market will resolve to the YES option.
