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Dati al 8 set 2026, 19:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
2026 4%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,7K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
1 set 26, 02:00 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Regole
If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- Each market's year is determined by the official polling day that actually occurs, not an announced or scheduled date that is later changed.
- If the official polling day for the next UK general election occurs in a year not listed, every market resolves NO.
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2028 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2029 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In what year will the next UK general election be held??
- Kalshi quota 2026 al 4% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In what year will the next UK general election be held??
- In what year will the next UK general election be held? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato In what year will the next UK general election be held??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.