Previsione della comunità attuale
No 61%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto2 dic 25, 14:05 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Second most seats following next UK general election?
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KalshiWho will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Reform UK is in government following the next UK general election, either as the main governing party or as part of a formal supply and confidence agreement with another party.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the UK government and Parliament regarding the composition of government.
- The next UK general election is scheduled to be held no later than Wednesday 15 August 2029, though it may be called earlier at the Prime Minister's discretion.
Mercati aperti
Politics
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 61% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election?
- Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria