Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 18:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNigel Farage 63%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto5 mag 25, 00:29 UTC2 gen 29, 01:28 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
Manifold MarketsIf Zack Polanski is not leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRegole
Resolves at the leader of Reform UK.
- If Reform UK has changed its name but is still the same party, resolves at the leader of that party.
- If Reform UK no longer exists as a separate political party, resolves "Nobody".