Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82%
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Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto30 dic 23, 22:14 UTC2 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a quantum computing CEO go to jail before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Quantum computing has the possibility to break encryption as we know it.
- The widely used encryption methods, including RSA, AES, ECC, SHA-256, and HMAC, face unprecedented challenges.
- This question resolves YES if, by 2030, quantum computing successfully decrypts and exploits data secured by at least one of the mentioned encryption methods, leading to a substantial breach in the user data of a major company.
- This question resolves NO if, by 2030, none of the commonly employed encryption methods are breached and exploited by quantum computing.
